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#41
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In article , FDR wrote:
GMAN wrote: In article , FDR wrote: Rod Speed wrote: FDR wrote: flambe wrote: Being a curmudgeon is one thing, seeing where things are headed is another. As the internet pipeline widens nearly all content delivery will move there, particularly the delivery of pre-recorded materials. DVD has made inroads in portable devices but the market will move to an ipod style download model over the long term, as will what people now regard as OTA/Cable/Satellite television. Unfortunately in the rush to move to this model consumers will have to endure compression schemes as bad or worse than what we are now seeing. However as bandwidth increases this will improve if consumers demand it: alas most consumers are morons. Wait until your pc becomes a cheap applicance where nearly all programs will be run from a remote server. Yourhard drive will be just a redundant back up drive. Taint gunna happen, you watch. I'd like to believe it won't. But big companies who are tired of piracy will resort to this. And i will resort to fighting back with my wallet. I will support the companies that "Dont" do this. Be ready for a Linux world then ![]() If need be , OK! |
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#42
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MakeNoAttemptToAdjustYourSet wrote:
On Sat, 16 Feb 2008 14:55:19 -0800, wrote: "Rod Speed" wrote in message ... FDR wrote But big companies who are tired of piracy will resort to this. Nope, because the end users wont wear not being able to use it unless they are online. Could you translate that into English? If you are really so stupid that you cannot garner his meaning from that remark, you have abso-****ing-lutely no business in Usenet. Of course he knows what it means, but it is very satisfying (for those of us who have tolerated Rod's lame troll antics) to see Rod looking like the idiot he is. We like to pounce on that, even though it is, in fact, "feeding the trolls". Your stupidity is apparent from your total ignorance of this situation. |
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#43
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TheKraken wrote:
On Mon, 18 Feb 2008 16:07:43 -0800, Helen Weed wrote: MakeNoAttemptToAdjustYourSet wrote: On Sat, 16 Feb 2008 14:55:19 -0800, wrote: "Rod Speed" wrote in message ... FDR wrote But big companies who are tired of piracy will resort to this. Nope, because the end users wont wear not being able to use it unless they are online. Could you translate that into English? If you are really so stupid that you cannot garner his meaning from that remark, you have abso-****ing-lutely no business in Usenet. Of course he knows what it means, but it is very satisfying (for those of us who have tolerated Rod's lame troll antics) to see Rod looking like the idiot he is. We like to pounce on that, even though it is, in fact, "feeding the trolls". Your stupidity is apparent from your total ignorance of this situation. You are the dip****s that have invaded a.v.d, not the other way around. Your stupidity is proven by this major basic logic flaw. TheKraken must be some troll alias. More nonsense. I mean, what would "the other way around" actually be? |
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#44
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I've now read a few of your drivel posts and I must say . . .
****! ****! How can somone as ****ing stupid as you remember to continue breathing? On Sun, 17 Feb 2008 21:51:24 -0500, FDR wrote: ChairmanOfTheBored wrote: On Sun, 17 Feb 2008 08:51:03 -0500, "Elmo P. Shagnasty" wrote: In article , MakeNoAttemptToAdjustYourSet wrote: Maybe now you will understand the difference between buying a streaming content event, and buying a hard copy. You mean, like people who go to a theater and have the movie streamed from the screen to their eyeballs, spend ten bucks for the privilege, and then have to pay again if they want to see it again? Yeah, that whole streaming thing. Useless, isn't it. It's a business model that will NEVER take off. You really have no clue what this DVD group is about do you, boy? People like having a hard copy of certain things. It like the difference between actually owning a real house, and the idiots on the playstation that live in a virtual home. One has equity from the first day on, the other never will. What is the equity in a 10 year old Disk? A few bucks? You can buy Lord of the Rings used for $1 on Amazon. Real houses gain value over time. Disks, just like cars, lose value over time. So in 10 years you'll lose most of your equity in a disk, while the money you saved by renting or even watching it over cable could be pocketed and make some interest. |
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#45
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In alt.video.dvd Just Visiting wrote:
Well, here we go again! This format war should be more interesting than the last one. Since online video has exploded in the last couple of years, anyone can save their favorite movies and clips to any media they want. The movie studios will probably require registration per movie per IP address. Toshiba could still offer a hardware solution for this market though. The cable, phone and satellite companies will make out with this one, too. However, somebody will still offer a retail or mail order movie business if the studios are willing to license their material on various types of media versus online distribution. It doesn't have to be limited to Blu-Ray with the threat of hi-def online content. For the consumer, it has to be an offer that will last for many years to come. Isn't competition great? Hee-hee... Current download services are offering highly compressed video, so the picture quality isn't quite as good as a local blu-ray disc. Even if you had the technology available to stream blu-ray quality audio and video over the internet, there's one non-technology issue that will still exist - the psychological desire for a physical object. Think about it. We've had the technology for years now to moreorless switch entirely from printed words on paper to electronic formats like eBooks. Why pay $7 for a chunk of wood that you store on your shelf when you could store hundreds, even thousands of books' worth of printed material on something the size of a keychain USB drive? Collecting is why. People like collecting stuff, be it books, movies, 'Precious Moments' statuettes, etc. People bought DVDs because they are an affordable and durable format, unlike VHS before it. Now, online HD formats DO have a place in the market in the form of PPV or rentals. Why bother with mailing DVDs back to Netflix when you can just browse their library online, hit "play" and enjoy the movie right then and there on your TV? That technology is almost here now. However I don't see Blu-Ray and Online Downloads competing with one another really. Most folks who are going to upgrade to blu-ray are going to be the ones who are interested in OWNING blu-ray discs. They may still use downloads as rentals, but they're not going to see the two technologies are competing against each other. They're two separate answers to completely different questions. -- It's not broken. It's...advanced. |
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#46
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In alt.video.dvd Scott in SoCal wrote:
Already there are applications that "phone home" each and every time you run them and refuse to operate unless they get authentication from the company servers. One such application was "TimeTrax Recast" - put out by a company that is (thankfully) now defunct. Another is TMPGEnc: http://tmpgenc.pegasys-inc.com/en/pr...operation.html Yes, yes, these systems have been in existence for decades for corporate and enterprise software licensing. However there's a big difference between that, and the consumer setting. Unless you have completely ubiquitous internet connectivity, this is not a viable solution for consumers. Many people like watching videos in their car, on the train, or airplane. These types of phone-home systems don't work in those types of environments. And what happens if there's an outage that prevents you from connecting to the internet? Then you can't watch any of your shows? Today's (consumer) technology isn't robust enough to ensure the sorts of uptime and quality of service required for these systems. Back in the 90s, my school tried to roll out a centralized licensing and storage system for common applications like MSWord and Excel. The reason was that many of the computers' hard drives were now too small to hold the newer versions of the software. It was cheaper to implement a central storage server for the software, and a licensing server meant the school wasn't paying for licenses that would just "sit idle" on most machines. It worked pretty well...until midterms hit. Then, there was such a heavy load on the servers and the network, that the equipment couldn't keep up. Entire labs were unable to contact the licensing servers, and students needing to finish their term papers were practically ready to kill you for your license token. The upgrade of all the computers in all the labs finished in time for the start of the winter semester. The licensing server hardware was repurposed as a network-wide fileserver, with each student receiving a 20MB share of their very own. From then on, any tech or staff member who even mentioned the word "centralized" would receive a severe verbal beating by the head of the technology services department. -- It's not broken. It's...advanced. |
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#47
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In alt.video.dvd Rod Speed wrote:
There *will be local storage*, but on solid state media. Irrelevant to that claim that all the apps will be running from a remote server and wont be local. Hahahaha. You should go work for Sun. No, seriously. They also believe in the idea of centralized servers that run everything, with cheap and dumb clients on everyone's desks. Yeah...and they work really well, those SunRays! Just ask anyone who's used them! Well, that'd be the folks at Sun, since no one else is stupid enough to buy them! 40 years ago(!) this model made sense. Back then, you used a "dumb terminal" to connect to "the Mainframe" to access your data and applications. Nothing was stored on the terminal. Nowadays, however, this setup doesn't make a whole lot of sense. I can get a fully functional computer - WITH software AND a (small) LCD panel for $500 or less. Heck, you even get a laptop for that amount - or even a little less. The future will be that you download the application, and then run it locally. That's already happening with PC games with systems like Valve, or GameTap. But thinking we're going to see a return to the days of the mainframe is just being ignorant of today's computer environments and markets. Unless you can point to emerging technologies that result in incredibly powerful - yet massive - computers that would be unwieldly to put on everyone's desk at work, the days of the dumb terminal and mainframe are dead, gone, and little more than an entry in the history books. -- It's not broken. It's...advanced. |
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#48
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In alt.video.dvd Elmo P. Shagnasty wrote:
Think back 15 years to what you were using and to what you said would never come to pass in 15 years. I don't know. 15 years ago, the big talk amongst my professors was still "client server" architecture. The internet was around, as were web browsers. The idea of centralized data - like in a database - with simplified interfaces for other applications - like web browsers - was all the rage. Although modems were still the main way of connecting to the internet, I already knew about then-emerging technologies like cable, DSL and fiber. The groundwork for today's "triple play" offerings from AT&T, Comcast and others was being laid back then. In many ways, things haven't changed a whole lot since then. Things have gotten bigger, faster, smaller, better, but that shouldn't be surprising, now, should it? Just like typewriters and carbon paper, this spinning disc thing too shall pass. Sure, but to think that purely virtual downloads will replace them is a silly statement. After all, books are still very popular, despite having the technology to completely replace them with digital files for the better part of a decade. -- It's not broken. It's...advanced. |
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#49
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In alt.video.dvd Elmo P. Shagnasty wrote:
No, but the infrastructure for doing it all solid state and streaming is in place. It's just a matter of beefing up what we already have. We did NOT have an infrastructure for flying cars, plus no one even started looking that way. Eh? People have been tinkering with flying cars for almost 50 years. Check out Popular Mechanics. A lot of the home computer technologies started the same way - people tinkering in their garages. Remember seeing your first 1 megapixel digital camera? Did you ever say, "nah, we'll never be rid of film"? Film will still be around for certain applications for a very very long time...or until you find a way to change this world around us into a completely digital one. -- It's not broken. It's...advanced. |
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#50
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In alt.video.dvd FDR wrote:
Right now today's environment is that you need "your" pc to do what you want. Don't have your computer? Oh well can't do anything. Centralize the apps and data and you can work anywhere. Centralization means nothing if you don't have ubiquitous networking. If I take my laptop with me on the plane, to the beach or whereever, I can still do work (or play games). Look at Google Docs. Work anywhere and collaborate. That's centralized data - not apps. I can accomplish the same thing with a networked CVS server. Even then, the amount of hardware needed to just get a web browser up and running is pretty close to what a full computer needs anyways, so again, what's the point? Want to be able to work anywhere? Get a laptop with a good wireless connection. Done. Centralization of data makes more sense - but again relies on a network connection which not everyone has available to them all the time. However, centralization of applications does not make sense in today's world of cheap and powerful hardware. Things like Google Docs are nice, but again their weakness is that they rely on a network connection to even USE them. Whereas, a computer, laptop, or even PDA with a local word processor will work anywhere and anytime. -- It's not broken. It's...advanced. |
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