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#21
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Mark Crispin wrote:
PS: I am old enough to remember the death of B&W TV. Once PLL tuners made reliable color affordable for the masses B&W died quickly. The networks went "all-color" when color TVs were in enough homes to make the expense of color production worthwhile. This was before PLL tuners were introduced. NBC had been "the full-color network" for several years for the purpose of selling color TVs. Once they became successful enough in that endeavor, ABC and CBS jumped in simultaneously, because the public really demanded color. Even so, some individual stations did not make the conversion to color at that time, and most continued to air significant amounts of non-network b&w programming long afterward. SD is similarly doomed. I don't see any similar incentive for HD programming. No TV set manufacturer owns a network. The general public doesn't seem to be going ga-ga over HD, and in fact a lot of people can't seem to tell the difference between HD and SD stretched to fit a 16:9 screen. HD currently has two things going for it: It's a prestige term, especially for sports, and it's more difficult for the average person to record and save than SD. Whether it supercedes SD in the long run depends on whether one HD program can generate more revenue than 4 SD programs. |
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#22
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On Mon, 14 May 2007, Chris Adams wrote:
Once upon a time, Mark Crispin said: On Thu, 10 May 2007, jack ak wrote: Are you suggesting that by some future date all programming will be HD only? Yes, but irrelevant to my point. Not exactly. All OTA signals will be digital by a cut-off date (that has been a moving target). There is no requirement for HD however, and some broadcasters are instead sending multiple SD channels on their digital signal. However, as the FCC has ruled against multicast must-carry, broadcasters who send multiple SD channels on their digital signal are likely to get only one of these on cable and satellite; thus most of the multicast channels will not have many eyeballs (= will not carry their own weight). The mainstream networks have all gone HD instead. Non-HD programming will soon be as much a relic as B&W programming. Also, there is no requirement that affects cable channels. Given the large number of cable channels (and the relative few of them that make the significant amounts of money required for a switch from SD to HD), I don't expect to see SD programming disappear for many years. It is true that cable channels (by this, I assume that we both mean for-cable programming such as CNN, MTV, etc. as opposed to cable carriage of broadcast channels) are unaffected by this. However, the SD cable channels will come under the same lack of eyeball pressure as B&W OTA channels did in the 1960s. A number of these channels have HD versions but the cable and satellite companies aren't carrying them yet. You can expect this to change dramatically in the next few years. SD is dead. Nothing can stop killer HD. -- Mark -- http://staff.washington.edu/mrc Science does not emerge from voting, party politics, or public debate. Si vis pacem, para bellum. |
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#23
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SD is dead. Nothing can stop killer HD. How about apathy? I don't find it that compelling. It's nothing like the color tv revolution. That was a huge change! For most of the stuff on TV nowadays HD would be a waste of bandwidth. Widescreen is nice, but HD is not that big a deal. There's no way that broadcasters are going to blowoff the viewers who have SD sets. I wouldn't think the FCC would even allow that. |
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#24
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A Watcher wrote:
SD is dead. Nothing can stop killer HD. How about apathy? I don't find it that compelling. It's nothing like the color tv revolution. That was a huge change! For most of the stuff on TV nowadays HD would be a waste of bandwidth. Widescreen is nice, but HD is not that big a deal. There's no way that broadcasters are going to blowoff the viewers who have SD sets. I wouldn't think the FCC would even allow that. Downrezzing and letterboxing, which all digital set-top converters support. |
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#25
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Mark Crispin wrote:
PS: I am old enough to remember the death of B&W TV. Once PLL tuners made reliable color affordable for the masses B&W died quickly. The networks went "all-color" when color TVs were in enough homes to make the expense of color production worthwhile. This was before PLL tuners were introduced, and TV prices were still far above what most considered affordable. NBC had been "the full-color network" for several years for the purpose of selling color TVs. Once they became successful enough in that endeavor, ABC and CBS jumped in simultaneously, because the public really demanded color. Even so, some individual stations did not make the conversion to color at that time, and most continued to air significant amounts of non-network b&w programming long afterward. SD is similarly doomed. I don't see any incentive for HD programming similar to the color revolution. No TV set manufacturer owns a network. The general public doesn't seem to be going gaga over HD, and in fact a lot of people can't seem to tell the difference between HD and SD stretched to fit a 16:9 screen. HD currently has two things going for it: It's a prestige term, especially for sports and, temporarily, it's more difficult for the average person to record and save than SD. Whether it supercedes SD in the long run depends on whether one HD stream can generate more revenue than 4 SD streams. (Once stations really start programming their SD channels, there will be public pressure for them to be on cable, must-carry rule or no.) |
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#26
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On Mon, 14 May 2007, Kimba W. Lion wrote:
The networks went "all-color" when color TVs were in enough homes to make the expense of color production worthwhile. Just as the networks are all-HD today. Even so, some individual stations did not make the conversion to color at that time, and most continued to air significant amounts of non-network b&w programming long afterward. And that happened when PLL tuners eliminated the last excuse to continue broadcasting B&W. The general public doesn't seem to be going gaga over HD Been to a Best Buy, Circuit City, Wal-Mart(!!), Sears, Target, sports bar, etc. lately? and in fact a lot of people can't seem to tell the difference between HD and SD stretched to fit a 16:9 screen. That may be the case but is irrelevant. The equipment is HD capable. Whether it supercedes SD in the long run depends on whether one HD stream can generate more revenue than 4 SD streams. That's a no-brainer. The cost of 4 SD streams is *FAR* higher (don't forget, there are fees to be paid to the content providers); and what's more, you're competing with yourself for eyeballs. That's why only PBS and the sleazy broadcasters - PAX, televangelists, etc. -- are multiplexing right now, and that's not likely to change. The mainstream network stations have HD programming and perhaps a weather channel or something dinky like The Tube on a single SD subchannel. (Once stations really start programming their SD channels, there will be public pressure for them to be on cable, must-carry rule or no.) Doubtful. There isn't much public pressure for cable to carry the current crop of multiplexed channels, much less additional ones. Anyone hoping to create such pressure has a chicken/egg problem in that if cable doesn't carry it, only people with OTA will know about it. Multicasting is like OTA pay-TV -- it sounds like a great idea that you'll make a mint on, but nobody ever has and a lot of people have lost a lot of money trying. -- Mark -- http://staff.washington.edu/mrc Science does not emerge from voting, party politics, or public debate. Si vis pacem, para bellum. |
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#27
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On Mon, 14 May 2007, A Watcher wrote:
There's no way that broadcasters are going to blowoff the viewers who have SD sets. I wouldn't think the FCC would even allow that. Sorry, bunkie. The FCC not only is allowing that, it is *requiring* that. Analog is going away. The majority of digital sets are HD. A handful of cheap digital sets are SD-only, but they are fully capable of receiving HD broadcasts and downconverting. The same is true of any OTA digital-analog tuner. Analog is the only reason for a broadcaster to provide an SD signal. When analog goes away, that reason goes away. If you want to watch SD afterwards, you'll either have to have a digital tuner (which can receive HD and will downconvert) or subscribe to a service that will downconvert for you. Many older satellite tuners are SD-only, but at some point, it will become cheaper for DirecTV and Dish to forcibly upgrade customer satellite receivers to HD-capable models that can downconvert than it will be to continue to provide a separate SD feed of the same material for those people with old, SD-only satellite tuners. That's why DirecTV switched to a leasing model; to have the ability to force customers to upgrade. -- Mark -- http://staff.washington.edu/mrc Science does not emerge from voting, party politics, or public debate. Si vis pacem, para bellum. |
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#28
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Mark Crispin wrote:
Just as the networks are all-HD today. Not all network shows are HD.. Even so, some individual stations did not make the conversion to color at that time, and most continued to air significant amounts of non-network b&w programming long afterward. And that happened when PLL tuners eliminated the last excuse to continue broadcasting B&W. PLL tuners had nothing to do with it. The general public doesn't seem to be going gaga over HD Been to a Best Buy, Circuit City, Wal-Mart(!!), Sears, Target, sports bar, etc. lately? Retailers are looking for the highest profit items--they don't make the trends. Wal-Mart(!!) has at least as many SD sets as HD. Bars and other such places are showing SD programming stretched to fit their wide screens. The mainstream network stations have HD programming and perhaps a weather channel or something dinky like The Tube on a single SD subchannel. The Washington DC ABC station has original local programming on an SD channel. The Baltimore Fox station has a TVLand-like SD channel. Broadcasters are only starting to ramp up because so few people have the necessary receivers. And how dinky was MTV when it started out? There isn't much public pressure for cable to carry the current crop of multiplexed channels, much less additional ones. Anyone hoping to create such pressure has a chicken/egg problem in that if cable doesn't carry it, only people with OTA will know about it. I know the above-mentioned Baltimore subchannel is on cable; don't know about the DC channel. Promotion is definitely necessary, and will happen. Multicasting is like OTA pay-TV -- it sounds like a great idea that you'll make a mint on, but nobody ever has and a lot of people have lost a lot of money trying. The digital TV era has barely begun and you're talking like it's done. Broadcasters have a history of wanting multi-cast capability. It's the reason our analog FM stereo system was chosen, the reason the current FM digital system was chosen, and now digital TV. None of these systems are/were the best available technology for delivering a high-quality program, but they all allow for multiple streams on one signal. The public at large has shown over and over that they really don't notice picture quality. Broadcasters will bet that they can get the public to notice more channels. |
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#29
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I have a question that may seem simplistic:
If I continue to stubbornly use my standard definition television with my satellite TV even though DirecTV has supposedly upgraded their signals to fully HD at some point in the future, I maintain it won't make any difference if the signal is HD or not my set will always be incapable of HD and it will output SD no matter what signal is downlinked..... Or,will my SD screen go dark similarly like what will happen with OTA in 2009? In other words,will I have to buy some converter box for satellite to down res to my standard definition TV? Just curious... |
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#30
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On 2007-05-24, SAC 441 wrote:
I have a question that may seem simplistic: If I continue to stubbornly use my standard definition television with my satellite TV even though DirecTV has supposedly upgraded their signals to fully HD at some point in the future, I maintain it won't make any difference if the signal is HD or not my set will always be incapable of HD and it will output SD no matter what signal is downlinked..... Or,will my SD screen go dark similarly like what will happen with OTA in 2009? In other words,will I have to buy some converter box for satellite to down res to my standard definition TV? Just curious... It's all about your satellite receiver. If you buy a satellite receiver which only outputs HD, you would have to upgrade your TV. If you ensure you have a receiver that outputs SD, even with HD input, then you'll be fine. -- This is my .sig |
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