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#41
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On Wed, 7 Mar 2007 14:52:05 -0800, Mark Crispin
wrote: On Wed, 7 Mar 2007, Bob Miller wrote: The end game IMO is wireless broadband and broadcast. There is nothing else IMO. No cell phones, no cable, no satellite including Sirius or XM merger or not. Speaking as someone who is actually working on wireless broadband technology, you are full of ****. You vastly underestimate both costs and feasibility, particularly in any sort of wide-area deployment. For fixed reception the broadband fiber to the home will sooner or later replace the cable network and the satellite feeds. Private base stations at home and offices will provide connection to the fiber. Wireless broadband in built up areas is not going to be a problem, but in low population density areas the situation is going to be problematic and most likely people living in these areas will have to accept a lower level of service. Cable has a huge advantage over OTA in that it has its own dedicated ether. It doesn't have to share bandwidth with external entities. The capacity growth potential of the coaxial cable is close to the limit. Sure, it may be possible to add one or two bits to each QAM symbol by using better amplifiers. Higher frequencies might also be used, the cable loss increases and amplifiers have to be inserted at closer intervals. Cascading amplifiers will worsen the noise and intermodulation problems and making it hard to transfer even the current number of bits/symbol. With coaxial "last mile" or "last 100 m" fed by a fiber, perhaps the capacity could be increased by only 2-3 times from the current situation. Satellite gets its bandwidth by using GHz frequencies, but at the cost of requiring line-of-sight from transmitter to receiver and carefully aimed dish antennas. At least the geostationary system is close to the capacity limit. You can not go much higher in frequency due to atmospheric losses. The spectral reuse cannot be increased in the geostationary satellite belt by moving satellites closer to each other, since the receiver antenna beamwidth would have to be narrower, i.e. the receiver antenna would have to be larger and in many cases become too large for e.g. balcony installations. A large antenna with a narrow beam is harder to aim, may require active compensation for changes in atmospheric refraction index, the satellite station keeping must be more accurate, consuming more fuel and shortening satellite lifetime. In order to reuse the satellite spectrum more efficiently will require a larger angular separation between satellites, i.e. non-geostationary orbits with large inclination would be required, but in this case, each receiving antenna would have to be mechanically or electronically steerable. OTA has to suffer with a lot of limitations, including other users of the ether. The reason why 802.11 is so severely power-limited is because it uses frequencies owned by others on a "low-power" exemption. When aiming for a large total system throughput, the cell size must be small, making it possible to reuse the same frequency more often, thus as small power levels should be used as possible. The cost of some WLAN components are soon so low that it is feasible to integrate these in every lamp-post and have cell sizes of 30-100 m in densely populated areas and along main roads. With such small cell sizes, the atmospheric losses are not an issue even high in EHF bands, but sooner or later the attenuation in glass (both in house and cars) will become the limiting factor. However, it takes a few years, before the technology in 10-100 GHz is affordable for such dense networks. The future throughput potential for future wireless networks is huge, compared to current RF systems. Paul |
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#42
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Paul Keinanen wrote:
On Wed, 7 Mar 2007 14:52:05 -0800, Mark Crispin wrote: On Wed, 7 Mar 2007, Bob Miller wrote: The end game IMO is wireless broadband and broadcast. There is nothing else IMO. No cell phones, no cable, no satellite including Sirius or XM merger or not. Speaking as someone who is actually working on wireless broadband technology, you are full of ****. You vastly underestimate both costs and feasibility, particularly in any sort of wide-area deployment. For fixed reception the broadband fiber to the home will sooner or later replace the cable network and the satellite feeds. Private base stations at home and offices will provide connection to the fiber. Wireless broadband in built up areas is not going to be a problem, but in low population density areas the situation is going to be problematic and most likely people living in these areas will have to accept a lower level of service. Cable has a huge advantage over OTA in that it has its own dedicated ether. It doesn't have to share bandwidth with external entities. The capacity growth potential of the coaxial cable is close to the limit. Sure, it may be possible to add one or two bits to each QAM symbol by using better amplifiers. Higher frequencies might also be used, the cable loss increases and amplifiers have to be inserted at closer intervals. Cascading amplifiers will worsen the noise and intermodulation problems and making it hard to transfer even the current number of bits/symbol. With coaxial "last mile" or "last 100 m" fed by a fiber, perhaps the capacity could be increased by only 2-3 times from the current situation. Satellite gets its bandwidth by using GHz frequencies, but at the cost of requiring line-of-sight from transmitter to receiver and carefully aimed dish antennas. At least the geostationary system is close to the capacity limit. You can not go much higher in frequency due to atmospheric losses. The spectral reuse cannot be increased in the geostationary satellite belt by moving satellites closer to each other, since the receiver antenna beamwidth would have to be narrower, i.e. the receiver antenna would have to be larger and in many cases become too large for e.g. balcony installations. A large antenna with a narrow beam is harder to aim, may require active compensation for changes in atmospheric refraction index, the satellite station keeping must be more accurate, consuming more fuel and shortening satellite lifetime. In order to reuse the satellite spectrum more efficiently will require a larger angular separation between satellites, i.e. non-geostationary orbits with large inclination would be required, but in this case, each receiving antenna would have to be mechanically or electronically steerable. OTA has to suffer with a lot of limitations, including other users of the ether. The reason why 802.11 is so severely power-limited is because it uses frequencies owned by others on a "low-power" exemption. When aiming for a large total system throughput, the cell size must be small, making it possible to reuse the same frequency more often, thus as small power levels should be used as possible. The cost of some WLAN components are soon so low that it is feasible to integrate these in every lamp-post and have cell sizes of 30-100 m in densely populated areas and along main roads. With such small cell sizes, the atmospheric losses are not an issue even high in EHF bands, but sooner or later the attenuation in glass (both in house and cars) will become the limiting factor. However, it takes a few years, before the technology in 10-100 GHz is affordable for such dense networks. The future throughput potential for future wireless networks is huge, compared to current RF systems. Paul Insanely huge compared to current RF systems, approaching infinity and incredibly inexpensive. 2.5 years or less before this will start to hit the mainstream. Bluetooth prices for multi Gbps wireless in the medium term. Super redundant networks that can and will be built and maintained by members of the household. NO need for most of the current infrastructure and its high cost, cable FIOS, satellite, cellular as it pertains to individuals or households. Inter city and country fiber and satellite connections to feed this but all last miles will be wireless. Bob Miller |
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#43
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In article ,
Paul Keinanen wrote: In order to reuse the satellite spectrum more efficiently will require a larger angular separation between satellites, i.e. non-geostationary orbits with large inclination would be required, but in this case, each receiving antenna would have to be mechanically or electronically steerable. Or maybe statites http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statite (a "satellite" which uses a solar sail to stay in a fixed position relative to the earth), but that's still in the realm of science fiction right now. |
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#44
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"Paul Keinanen" wrote:
When aiming for a large total system throughput, the cell size must be small, making it possible to reuse the same frequency more often, thus as small power levels should be used as possible. The cost of some WLAN components are soon so low that it is feasible to integrate these in every lamp-post and have cell sizes of 30-100 m in densely populated areas and along main roads. With such small cell sizes, the atmospheric losses are not an issue even high in EHF bands, but sooner or later the attenuation in glass (both in house and cars) will become the limiting factor. However, it takes a few years, before the technology in 10-100 GHz is affordable for such dense networks. The future throughput potential for future wireless networks is huge, compared to current RF systems. I agree with this completely. However, it is a fundamentally different model of OTA TV. What you are describing is sort of one step removed from a cable network to the home, with wifi distribution inside the home. The foundation of such a system is still a cabled network. Traditional terrestrial TV distribution has a few advantages over cable, one of which is lower infrastructure cost. Your system, or the similar LMDS concepts from a couple of decades ago, are sort of a hybrid between cabled networks and more traditional OTA TV. To allow more and more reuse of RF spectrum, the wireless link keeps getting shorter and shorter, the supporting cabled network structure more and more elaborate. As always, there is a tradeoff. Bert |
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#45
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On Thu, 08 Mar 2007 14:45:59 GMT, Bob Miller wrote:
Paul Keinanen wrote: On Wed, 7 Mar 2007 14:52:05 -0800, Mark Crispin wrote: For fixed reception the broadband fiber to the home will sooner or later replace the cable network and the satellite feeds. Private base stations at home and offices will provide connection to the fiber. clip [small cell wireless broadband systems] With such small cell sizes, the atmospheric losses are not an issue even high in EHF bands, but sooner or later the attenuation in glass (both in house and cars) will become the limiting factor. However, it takes a few years, before the technology in 10-100 GHz is affordable for such dense networks. The future throughput potential for future wireless networks is huge, compared to current RF systems. Paul Insanely huge compared to current RF systems, approaching infinity and incredibly inexpensive. 2.5 years or less before this will start to hit the mainstream. Bluetooth prices for multi Gbps wireless in the medium term. Super redundant networks that can and will be built and maintained by members of the household. Unfortunately this does not work in the long run. While there might be great enthusiasm in the beginning, but in the long run, when there are user problems that needs to be solved, when equipment break down or when outdated equipment needs to be replaced, is there really much enthusiasm after a few years ? Based on the experience with the amateur radio packet radio network in the 1980/90's, I would say no. There needs to be some organisation that will maintain the system after a few years, even if the system can be started with a number of enthusiast. Paul |
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#46
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On Thu, 8 Mar 2007 15:53:07 GMT, "Albert Manfredi"
wrote: "Paul Keinanen" wrote: When aiming for a large total system throughput, the cell size must be small, making it possible to reuse the same frequency more often, thus as small power levels should be used as possible. The cost of some WLAN components are soon so low that it is feasible to integrate these in every lamp-post and have cell sizes of 30-100 m in densely populated areas and along main roads. With such small cell sizes, the atmospheric losses are not an issue even high in EHF bands, but sooner or later the attenuation in glass (both in house and cars) will become the limiting factor. However, it takes a few years, before the technology in 10-100 GHz is affordable for such dense networks. The future throughput potential for future wireless networks is huge, compared to current RF systems. I agree with this completely. However, it is a fundamentally different model of OTA TV. What you are describing is sort of one step removed from a cable network to the home, with wifi distribution inside the home. The foundation of such a system is still a cabled network. Traditional terrestrial TV distribution has a few advantages over cable, one of which is lower infrastructure cost. Your system, or the similar LMDS concepts from a couple of decades ago, are sort of a hybrid between cabled networks and more traditional OTA TV. You describe it as an extension to the cable network, I would describe it as a very high throughput cellular phone network and still we are talking about the same thing :-). Anyway, the throughput of such system is so great that after all, the broadcasting services only occupy a small fraction of the total throughput, just like the VoIP traffic currently occupy only a small part of the internet traffic. Only a few decades ago, the majority of all landline activity was telephone conversations. The same is going to happen to the broadcasting service, which once was the major player in all kinds of radio communication, but in future, it will just be one ordinary player in radio communication. Paul |
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#47
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On Mar 8, 12:39 pm, Paul Keinanen wrote:
You describe it as an extension to the cable network, I would describe it as a very high throughput cellular phone network and still we are talking about the same thing :-). Anyway, the throughput of such system is so great that after all, the broadcasting services only occupy a small fraction of the total throughput, just like the VoIP traffic currently occupy only a small part of the internet traffic. Only a few decades ago, the majority of all landline activity was telephone conversations. The same is going to happen to the broadcasting service, which once was the major player in all kinds of radio communication, but in future, it will just be one ordinary player in radio communication. I agree that in time the Internet will be able to support HDTV streams with ease. A couple of years ago I figured it was about 10 years away at least, and I'll stick to that prediction for now. The only problem I have with your post is that it's not the RF mini- links you're advocating that will solve the basic Internet capacity problem by themselves. Your "high throughput cellular phone network" will require a much faster basic infrastructure, a cabled infrastructure, with possibly additional QoS mechanisms, compared with what is deployed now in the Internet. If you want complete flexibility in routing HDTV to whoever, whenever they choose, and avoid a walled garden network architecture. The RF last-few-meters link, or the fiber-to-the-home local loop, do not resolve the system bottlenecks. As of now, cable TV, DBS, or DTT, are a very good way to offload that high capacity TV traffic from the interactive Internet backbones. As a matter of fact, when the US telecom giant Verizon deployed their FTTH system recently, for broadband Internet access, TV, and telephone service, they also came to that conclusion. They use a DWDM scheme over a passive optical network (PON). But instead of using IP to deliver television, they assign their TV broadcast channels to one of the 32 wavelengths, and simply broadcast the TV channels over that frequency as a cable system would. They use IP for video on demand, telephone, and Internet broadband connectivity. This allows Verizon to use standard coax cable and cable STBs for broadcast TV distribution in the home, and it keeps their internal routers a lot cheaper than they would have to be if it were a true IPTV network. I think of it as offloading the really fast stuff, which is easily handled as a true broadcast. And, they say, they have the flexibility to introduce IPTV in the future, once they've installed the FTTH PON everywhere. Bert |
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#48
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On Mar 8, 12:39 pm, Paul Keinanen wrote:
You describe it as an extension to the cable network, I would describe it as a very high throughput cellular phone network and still we are talking about the same thing :-). In the previous reply, I figured your were using the Internet between all these very small cells. I notice that maybe you are not. If you are not, and are instead creating a broadcast system with very short RF links, okay, but you are still depending on a much more labor- intensive infrastructure than traditional OTA TV. Especially in the sprawling suburbs of many US cities (and increasingly true in Europe too). Bert |
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#49
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Albert Manfredi wrote:
"Paul Keinanen" wrote: When aiming for a large total system throughput, the cell size must be small, making it possible to reuse the same frequency more often, thus as small power levels should be used as possible. The cost of some WLAN components are soon so low that it is feasible to integrate these in every lamp-post and have cell sizes of 30-100 m in densely populated areas and along main roads. With such small cell sizes, the atmospheric losses are not an issue even high in EHF bands, but sooner or later the attenuation in glass (both in house and cars) will become the limiting factor. However, it takes a few years, before the technology in 10-100 GHz is affordable for such dense networks. The future throughput potential for future wireless networks is huge, compared to current RF systems. I agree with this completely. However, it is a fundamentally different model of OTA TV. What you are describing is sort of one step removed from a cable network to the home, with wifi distribution inside the home. The foundation of such a system is still a cabled network. Traditional terrestrial TV distribution has a few advantages over cable, one of which is lower infrastructure cost. Your system, or the similar LMDS concepts from a couple of decades ago, are sort of a hybrid between cabled networks and more traditional OTA TV. To allow more and more reuse of RF spectrum, the wireless link keeps getting shorter and shorter, the supporting cabled network structure more and more elaborate. As always, there is a tradeoff. Bert Not what I am talking about. The links don't get shorter necessarily. In a densely populated area you may want to have a limited number of viewers per NOC but any given link will be possible at up to 5 miles. Much farther in many cases. NO trade off. Just far lower cost and no need for most of the infrastructure cost we have today. No satellite, no cable, no fiber except between cities and countries and there is still a ton of dark fiber there. And who is talking about models of TV? We were talking about the long term viability of high cost, high maintenance networks. If you can get all the same content you can get today via the current TV model with a new model at much lower cost then the old model dies. And if it happens to come with a multi Gbps back channel and works mobile all the better Bob Miller |
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#50
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Paul Keinanen wrote:
On Thu, 08 Mar 2007 14:45:59 GMT, Bob Miller wrote: Paul Keinanen wrote: On Wed, 7 Mar 2007 14:52:05 -0800, Mark Crispin wrote: For fixed reception the broadband fiber to the home will sooner or later replace the cable network and the satellite feeds. Private base stations at home and offices will provide connection to the fiber. clip [small cell wireless broadband systems] With such small cell sizes, the atmospheric losses are not an issue even high in EHF bands, but sooner or later the attenuation in glass (both in house and cars) will become the limiting factor. However, it takes a few years, before the technology in 10-100 GHz is affordable for such dense networks. The future throughput potential for future wireless networks is huge, compared to current RF systems. Paul Insanely huge compared to current RF systems, approaching infinity and incredibly inexpensive. 2.5 years or less before this will start to hit the mainstream. Bluetooth prices for multi Gbps wireless in the medium term. Super redundant networks that can and will be built and maintained by members of the household. Unfortunately this does not work in the long run. While there might be great enthusiasm in the beginning, but in the long run, when there are user problems that needs to be solved, when equipment break down or when outdated equipment needs to be replaced, is there really much enthusiasm after a few years ? Based on the experience with the amateur radio packet radio network in the 1980/90's, I would say no. There needs to be some organisation that will maintain the system after a few years, even if the system can be started with a number of enthusiast. Paul Agreed but I don't think the network I am talking about is going to need a lot of maintenance. People, me included, don't want to maintain my own computer and home network but I do. But you are right, long term I will find a way to farm out all the problems I have with updating software, rebooting the network, buying software, installing software and just keeping up with the technology. But we have done it. Most of the population of the US has bought into the computer algorithm. And that is far more complicated than what I am talking about. Basically we are talking about another connection on your home network, a multi Gbps connection and the maintaining of that connection. On one side you have the problem of keeping folks happy who might have to maintain that network, something many are already doing, on the other side you have the savings from doing it yourself. And why not have a company that says we will maintain your network for a fee,relax. If you want to have someone come out and switch out a server that cost $50 or re point an antenna so be it. Maybe the network will be so trouble free that a contract for this will be very low cost. A lot less than the contract we now have for cable IMO. Bob Miller |
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