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#32
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wrote:
Bob if you look over all my posts, my data supported figures for those watching digital TV right now is 3 percent of market. The 16% being those 'dependant" on only OTA analog TV. Will go out on a limb and say all of the 3 percent are watching in HD OTA. That leaves 97 percent that are not,,, and notice that Wes never responded back about my "correction" of his 10 fold error in calculating , nor has Dave responded back rationally to anything other than my one Agent spelling checker replacement error. BTW,,Its "Dude" not Dood",,,ROTFL,,,,,,,!!!!!!! Why post if you are not willing to be involved in a productive give and take discussion,,?? What's up with these Wes and Davids - who the second the can not come up with a rational rebuttal, resort to infantile name calling,, Or did I just answer my own question there,,,LOL and no,,I am not Bob, and actually i did research Bobs posts, and have no opinion about his technical arguments, but have to say regardless that the"'cow is out of the barn" so to speak, and we have to live with what we got. As to your "cow is out of the barn" statement. The NTSC "cow" was out of the barn for 50 years and some say there are 300 million NTSC TV sets in use but that did not stop us from changing the standard when it was deemed a good idea. Or did we do it because 50 years was the right time to do it? Sort of a "it felt right" kind of decision? No I think it was because the technology was developed and we could see a much more efficient way of broadcasting, the time NTSC had been around had nothing to do with it. I would think that if the possibility of digital had come up 3 years after NTSC had been initiated they would have changed then. The simple fact is today we know that our current standard, 8-VSB coupled with MPEG2, if you just argue the codec side, is wasting half the bandwidth. That is MPEG2 is half as efficient as MPEG4 AVC so every year we waste half the delivery capacity of all the free OTA spectrum and over the next few years MPEG4 AVC should mature to double its current capability. That means we will then be wasting 3/4th of the carrying capacity of this spectrum. That spectrum cost is staggering. Add to it the cost of all those that can't receive 8-VSB because of its multipath problems, those whose reception is impaired by multipath some of the time and those who can't receive as many stations as they would be able to with a much IMPROVED 8-VSB or a far better codec like DVB-T/H or DMB-T/H and the cost is far higher. Is there some required time interval before you can change modulations or codecs irrespective of what makes sense or changes in science or technology? I don't think so. It would have been best to scuttle 8-VSB sooner, Congress considered doing it in 2000, it would be good to do in now, it will only cost more to do it later. It will happen anyway and in one of two ways. OTA will be declared dead by some politician who will become a hero for doing it, and it will be auctioned off to those who will use it with the best tools or, two, we will see a change in modulation and codec so that the US can have at least as decent a DTV modulation and codec as the French and Chinese. Bob Miller his economic arguments however are supported by hard facts,and right on the mark. Bob Miller wrote: wrote: They need to invest that to do digital - SD is digital, HD is digital,,,they have to be able to edit/produce/convert ones and zeroes. It has nothing to do with HD. Now answer my question - how are they going to pay back that investment? By sending you free OTA HD, you and the other 16 percent of the OTA market,,? And what percentage of that 16% has an HDTV? When will the rest of them get an HDTV? We are not talking the best demographic for HD here. We are talking about the 16% who either can't afford a TV, can't afford cable and satellite if they have a TV, some of this crowd steals cable or satellite and the rest, maybe 2% of this 16% don't want to watch TV whether they can afford it or not. And the real number of those who still rely on OTA is not 16% to begin with IMO. A recent telephone survey found that 19% reported that they had a TV that relied on OTA for reception in the house. Of those 52% said they also had cable or satellite. That would leave about 9.88% who actually rely on OTA and have a telephone. You can decide how much of the time that other OTA TV set was watched in those homes that also had cable or satellite, the 9.22% other houses that also had a telephone. Broadcasters are only going to give away HD as long as it is politically wise to do so or if they find that they can make more money OTA with advertising alone. But at the moment they plan on being paid by cable and satellite AND getting the ad revenue. Same goes for OTA, they plan on both ad revenue and subscriber fees, whether from cable, satellite or OTA. Bob Miller |
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#33
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Bob Miller wrote:
wrote: Bob if you look over all my posts, my data supported figures for those watching digital TV right now is 3 percent of market. The 16% being those 'dependant" on only OTA analog TV. And I only suggest that it is south of 9% actually. Will go out on a limb and say all of the 3 percent are watching in HD OTA. I'd say it is more like 1%. Could I see your data again? Where did you get 3%? That leaves 97 percent that are not,,, and notice that Wes never responded back about my "correction" of his 10 fold error in calculating , nor has Dave responded back rationally to anything other than my one Agent spelling checker replacement error. Was it an Agent error? I thought your "mistake" was the better word myself. Covenated. A promised "IGNORE list", a very special place of honor. You promised this honor to someone in the past and are now delivering. Coveted has no meaning in the context. Why would you covet your own Ignore list? You covet something that belongs to others. Would someone else covet your Ignore list? No, you may have meant to imply facetiously that they want to be a member or join your Ignore list, you might have used for example, 'oversubscribed IGNORE list', but they don't covet it. Or if they do, it would not make sense, in the context of your email, for them to covet it. Coveted is nonsense while covenanted is perfect. Bob Miller BTW,,Its "Dude" not Dood",,,ROTFL,,,,,,,!!!!!!! Why post if you are not willing to be involved in a productive give and take discussion,,?? What's up with these Wes and Davids - who the second the can not come up with a rational rebuttal, resort to infantile name calling,, Or did I just answer my own question there,,,LOL and no,,I am not Bob, and actually i did research Bobs posts, and have no opinion about his technical arguments, but have to say regardless that the"'cow is out of the barn" so to speak, and we have to live with what we got. his economic arguments however are supported by hard facts,and right on the mark. Bob Miller wrote: wrote: They need to invest that to do digital - SD is digital, HD is digital,,,they have to be able to edit/produce/convert ones and zeroes. It has nothing to do with HD. Now answer my question - how are they going to pay back that investment? By sending you free OTA HD, you and the other 16 percent of the OTA market,,? And what percentage of that 16% has an HDTV? When will the rest of them get an HDTV? We are not talking the best demographic for HD here. We are talking about the 16% who either can't afford a TV, can't afford cable and satellite if they have a TV, some of this crowd steals cable or satellite and the rest, maybe 2% of this 16% don't want to watch TV whether they can afford it or not. And the real number of those who still rely on OTA is not 16% to begin with IMO. A recent telephone survey found that 19% reported that they had a TV that relied on OTA for reception in the house. Of those 52% said they also had cable or satellite. That would leave about 9.88% who actually rely on OTA and have a telephone. You can decide how much of the time that other OTA TV set was watched in those homes that also had cable or satellite, the 9.22% other houses that also had a telephone. Broadcasters are only going to give away HD as long as it is politically wise to do so or if they find that they can make more money OTA with advertising alone. But at the moment they plan on being paid by cable and satellite AND getting the ad revenue. Same goes for OTA, they plan on both ad revenue and subscriber fees, whether from cable, satellite or OTA. Bob Miller You know Bob i did indeed consider that my spelling error was actually a better choice - and reading your analysis, I think my thought was indeed correct.. thanks "Dood"...LOL God this is fun,,, and note,,I am now even "bottom posting" even though doing so makes the reader have to scroll 3 pages down,,, |
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#34
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Bob Miller wrote:
wrote: Bob if you look over all my posts, my data supported figures for those watching digital TV right now is 3 percent of market. The 16% being those 'dependant" on only OTA analog TV. Will go out on a limb and say all of the 3 percent are watching in HD OTA. That leaves 97 percent that are not,,, and notice that Wes never responded back about my "correction" of his 10 fold error in calculating , nor has Dave responded back rationally to anything other than my one Agent spelling checker replacement error. BTW,,Its "Dude" not Dood",,,ROTFL,,,,,,,!!!!!!! Why post if you are not willing to be involved in a productive give and take discussion,,?? What's up with these Wes and Davids - who the second the can not come up with a rational rebuttal, resort to infantile name calling,, Or did I just answer my own question there,,,LOL and no,,I am not Bob, and actually i did research Bobs posts, and have no opinion about his technical arguments, but have to say regardless that the"'cow is out of the barn" so to speak, and we have to live with what we got. As to your "cow is out of the barn" statement. The NTSC "cow" was out of the barn for 50 years and some say there are 300 million NTSC TV sets in use but that did not stop us from changing the standard when it was deemed a good idea. Or did we do it because 50 years was the right time to do it? Sort of a "it felt right" kind of decision? No I think it was because the technology was developed and we could see a much more efficient way of broadcasting, the time NTSC had been around had nothing to do with it. I would think that if the possibility of digital had come up 3 years after NTSC had been initiated they would have changed then. The simple fact is today we know that our current standard, 8-VSB coupled with MPEG2, if you just argue the codec side, is wasting half the bandwidth. That is MPEG2 is half as efficient as MPEG4 AVC so every year we waste half the delivery capacity of all the free OTA spectrum and over the next few years MPEG4 AVC should mature to double its current capability. That means we will then be wasting 3/4th of the carrying capacity of this spectrum. That spectrum cost is staggering. Add to it the cost of all those that can't receive 8-VSB because of its multipath problems, those whose reception is impaired by multipath some of the time and those who can't receive as many stations as they would be able to with a much IMPROVED 8-VSB or a far better codec like DVB-T/H or DMB-T/H and the cost is far higher. Is there some required time interval before you can change modulations or codecs irrespective of what makes sense or changes in science or technology? I don't think so. It would have been best to scuttle 8-VSB sooner, Congress considered doing it in 2000, it would be good to do in now, it will only cost more to do it later. It will happen anyway and in one of two ways. OTA will be declared dead by some politician who will become a hero for doing it, and it will be auctioned off to those who will use it with the best tools or, two, we will see a change in modulation and codec so that the US can have at least as decent a DTV modulation and codec as the French and Chinese. Bob Miller his economic arguments however are supported by hard facts,and right on the mark. Bob Miller wrote: wrote: They need to invest that to do digital - SD is digital, HD is digital,,,they have to be able to edit/produce/convert ones and zeroes. It has nothing to do with HD. Now answer my question - how are they going to pay back that investment? By sending you free OTA HD, you and the other 16 percent of the OTA market,,? And what percentage of that 16% has an HDTV? When will the rest of them get an HDTV? We are not talking the best demographic for HD here. We are talking about the 16% who either can't afford a TV, can't afford cable and satellite if they have a TV, some of this crowd steals cable or satellite and the rest, maybe 2% of this 16% don't want to watch TV whether they can afford it or not. And the real number of those who still rely on OTA is not 16% to begin with IMO. A recent telephone survey found that 19% reported that they had a TV that relied on OTA for reception in the house. Of those 52% said they also had cable or satellite. That would leave about 9.88% who actually rely on OTA and have a telephone. You can decide how much of the time that other OTA TV set was watched in those homes that also had cable or satellite, the 9.22% other houses that also had a telephone. Broadcasters are only going to give away HD as long as it is politically wise to do so or if they find that they can make more money OTA with advertising alone. But at the moment they plan on being paid by cable and satellite AND getting the ad revenue. Same goes for OTA, they plan on both ad revenue and subscriber fees, whether from cable, satellite or OTA. Bob Miller Bob I do not want to get into the middle of a technical situation that could be argued either way. However, your observation about "wasted bandwidth" is right to the heart of the matter. Bandwidth cost MONEY,,,if you can broadcast 5 different programs to watch, that 97 percent of your audience thinks look fine quality wise, what is the economic incentive to do only one channel that only 3 percent care about? Apparently the HD free TV trolls on this group all work for non profit organizations that give away there best products just because its the "nice thing to do". As far as my 3 percent estimate - I was being very generous with that, i did an average of about 20 different estimates that I found on the net. And to all those trolls that think 40 percent of the TV audiences gets their TV OTA,,please take a pen, a piece of paper, and walk around your neighborhood. Count the number of homes, count the number of roof top antennas (and I will even let you count the ones no longer even pointing in the right direction,,LOL). post your numbers, and I will be happy to show you how to calculate a percentage. In my neighborhood its 1 percent,,,and we live in a "dead zone", you have to have a roof top antenna to get any OTA, so no my neighbors are not all hiding inside with rabbit ears,,LOL |
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#35
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On Wed, 6 Sep 2006, G-squared wrote:
The programming will start out as HD as its getting hard to get new SD gear so why bother making crap? To get your SD signal, they have to buy another piece of gear to down-res the HD to SD. Why bother to do that? Good point. I forgot about that. AFAICT, the SD production being done these days are people stretching out that last bit of service life on analog gear before retiring it. -- Mark -- http://panda.com/mrc Democracy is two wolves and a sheep deciding what to eat for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed sheep contesting the vote. |
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#36
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On Thu, 7 Sep 2006, wrote:
Nobody gives a rats about picture quality Provable nonsense, as every sports bar in the nation has a big screen TV showing the game in HD. Just about every football on TV today is in HD; and no sane person can seriously claim that it's going back to SD. The pornmeisters have also discovered HD. -- Mark -- http://panda.com/mrc Democracy is two wolves and a sheep deciding what to eat for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed sheep contesting the vote. |
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#37
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Mark Crispin wrote:
On Thu, 7 Sep 2006, wrote: Nobody gives a rats about picture quality Provable nonsense, as every sports bar in the nation has a big screen TV showing the game in HD. Just about every football on TV today is in HD; and no sane person can seriously claim that it's going back to SD. The pornmeisters have also discovered HD. -- Mark -- http://panda.com/mrc Democracy is two wolves and a sheep deciding what to eat for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed sheep contesting the vote. Your hard data to support this is,,?? No sports bar I have been in is showing HD sports,,,just big fuzzy analog cable feeds,,,generally projected on a wall. People go to bars to get drunk and cheer, not to worry about seeing nose hairs. And please list the 'every" free HD football games.. 1 a week,,1 a month,,???? Guess those "HD" Sports bars must be pretty empty most of the time. Perhaps you need my "how to calculate percentages lesson". and again,the ones on cable/sat are all PAY (Hd or not),,,get that DOOD,,PAY,,not free,,PAYnot OTA free,,PAY,,as in you PAY extra to see them. What is it you have against SD picture quality - except that you have never seen it,,? Name one HD porn,,, Why would anyone want to see all the wrinkles and zits on a porn star,,,,/...LOL and once again, you present only opinion, and then when disagreed with, or presented with the obvious you start calling people names,,,, Me thinks you are the one needing the 'sanity" check,,,,"Dood"...LOL |
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#38
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wrote in message ... Mark Crispin wrote: On Thu, 7 Sep 2006, wrote: Nobody gives a rats about picture quality Provable nonsense, as every sports bar in the nation has a big screen TV showing the game in HD. Just about every football on TV today is in HD; and no sane person can seriously claim that it's going back to SD. The pornmeisters have also discovered HD. -- Mark -- http://panda.com/mrc Democracy is two wolves and a sheep deciding what to eat for lunch. Liberty is a well-armed sheep contesting the vote. Your hard data to support this is,,?? No sports bar I have been in is showing HD sports,,,just big fuzzy analog cable feeds,,,generally projected on a wall. People go to bars to get drunk and cheer, not to worry about seeing nose hairs. And please list the 'every" free HD football games.. 1 a week,,1 a month,,???? Guess those "HD" Sports bars must be pretty empty most of the time. Perhaps you need my "how to calculate percentages lesson". and again,the ones on cable/sat are all PAY (Hd or not),,,get that DOOD,,PAY,,not free,,PAYnot OTA free,,PAY,,as in you PAY extra to see them. What is it you have against SD picture quality - except that you have never seen it,,? Name one HD porn,,, Why would anyone want to see all the wrinkles and zits on a porn star,,,,/...LOL and once again, you present only opinion, and then when disagreed with, or presented with the obvious you start calling people names,,,, Me thinks you are the one needing the 'sanity" check,,,,"Dood"...LOL I have been trying to make sense of your perspective for a while now, but you obviously have little exposure to a large segment of the market. Many serious sports bars are showing HD. Sure, the local pub with a 27" tv inthe corner is not, but even those guys are looking into upgrades. We sell virtually nothing that is not HD capable and virtually none of our installations are not using HD now. Your belief that it will go away is hard to comprehend. Virtually no new broadcast or production equipment is being sold that doesn't do HD. It will take some time, but even the smal production houses are getting pressure to upgrade their work to HD from clients. There has been production in HD going on for almost 20 years and it is now really taking off. There might be a majority of it broadcast in SD or compressed forms but there will always be a market for the higher quality product. Leonard -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I am using the free version of SPAMfighter for private users. It has removed 3792 spam emails to date. Paying users do not have this message in their emails. Try SPAMfighter for free now! |
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#39
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On Thu, 07 Sep 2006 05:26:10 GMT, wrote:
and note,,I am now even "bottom posting" even though doing so makes the reader have to scroll 3 pages down,,, Only because you failed to edit all the unneeded text above it--another Usenet custom that has gone by the wayside. Dave Clary/Corpus Christi, Tx Home: http://davidclary.com |
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#40
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wrote:
I do not want to get into the middle of a technical situation that could be argued either way. However, your observation about "wasted bandwidth" is right to the heart of the matter. Bandwidth cost MONEY,,,if you can broadcast 5 different programs to watch, that 97 percent of your audience thinks look fine quality wise, what is the economic incentive to do only one channel that only 3 percent care about? This proves you are either blind, stupid, or both. 97% of viewers think that the video is "fine quality wise" if there are 5 sd signals on one channel? What VERY little credibility you had is now long gone. What a moron. Chip -- -------------------- http://NewsReader.Com/ -------------------- Usenet Newsgroup Service $9.95/Month 30GB |
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