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#11
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Andrew Norman wrote:
On Thu, 03 Mar 2005 13:51:41 GMT, "DAB sounds worse than FM" wrote: Heracles Pollux wrote: Sky's genius, if you can call it that, is the excellence of their marketing, "customer-ownership" (yes they think they own customers), their call-centre and accounts regime, and of course their software security, which no-one beats (except the BBC regime of farting old men spying on people through gaps in their curtains under duress of criminal prosecution). It's a great image, but could you tell me what the following means: "BBC regime of farting old men spying on people through gaps in their curtains under duress of criminal prosecution"? He is referring to the TV Licencing Agency I believe. Ah, that makes sense now. And long may the farting men continue spying, AFAIAC. -- Steve - www.digitalradiotech.co.uk - Digital Radio News & Info Find the cheapest Freeview, DAB & MP3 Player Prices: http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/fr..._receivers.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/da...tal_radios.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...rs_1GB-5GB.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...e_capacity.htm |
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#12
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Sky's genius, if you can call it that, is the excellence of their marketing, "customer-ownership" (yes they think they own customers), their call-centre and accounts regime, and of course their software security, which no-one beats (except the BBC regime of farting old men spying on people through gaps in their curtains under duress of criminal prosecution). It's a great image, but could you tell me what the following means: "BBC regime of farting old men spying on people through gaps in their curtains under duress of criminal prosecution"? Which part needs explanation or clarification? See: http://www.tvlicensing.biz/ http://www.tvlicensing.biz/telegraph...1949/index.htm Investment view: HOLD BSKYB. It is a commodity and aside from the 1999 dotcom bubble, it will make utility type profits, not 20x multiples, and eventually competitors will break into the market. This time, Murdoch does not need to shaft his shareholders by freezing dividends, but the move to HDTV is not a market innovation, rather a defensive play to maintain BSKYB's lead, and retain existing customers, not extract new ones. What about if the BBC, ITV and C4 (and maybe five) cooperate to launch a Freesat platform, with one of the features being that they'll have free-to-air HDTV? The above will probably offer HDTV on Digital Satellite anyway as a "me-too" strategy (like how Stuart Prebble at ITV joined digital satellite as late as November 2001). The reason is Digital Satellite bandwidth is cheap and depreciating. There is competition in the satellite transmission market and more capacity becoming available following the next Astra 2 deployment. HDTV will occur initially on the Pay-TV market because MPEG4 (the carrier and compresion protocol) requires a per user software licence. Just like Windows XP requires a licence to be paid, the software can only be deployed to people who are willing to pay for it, which is why MPEG2 is popular, and MPEG4 has a barrier to widespread use. Secondly, DTT has finite bandwidth due to the laws of physics and the reduction in signal penetration as the frequency increases. Given that it will be a struggle to attain DTT switch-over by 2010-2012 using existing DTT technology and MPEG2 (DVB-T), and the concerns about the free-to-air channels surviability (eg, ITV, Channel 4, and FIVE's recent statements and changes), simply adding more lines to the same TV programmes isn't going to net them one penny more in revenue nor one ad-sale more, for some time to come. Also look how Digital Radio is inferior in quality to FM radio, how most DTT channels are still on QAM64 rather than the more robust QAM16, and how there is commercial demand for more channels rather than higher quality of channels (the people who pay Crown Castle for spectrum not the viewers). And lastly the BBC who admit to 20% of people being opposed to the licence fee: Could they realistcally deploy an HDTV system - a luxury version of television for the few - using licence fee cash? I doubt even New Labour would swallow that. They would be more likely to want to do so using their pseudo commercial channels such as UK TV or by wheezing some kind of "top-up licence fee". -- Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG |
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#13
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It's a great image, but could you tell me what the following means: "BBC
regime of farting old men spying on people through gaps in their curtains under duress of criminal prosecution"? He is referring to the TV Licencing Agency I believe. The TVLA no longer exists. TVL is the body controlled by the BBC responsible for collection of licence fee cash. It is not a tax. The cash is exclusively used to fund the BBC. The Director responsible at the BBC is Zarin Patel. It is not possible to diconnect the relationship between the TVL, the BBC, and the DCMS. -- Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG |
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#14
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Ah, that makes sense now. And long may the farting men continue spying, AFAIAC. They may spy, but it does not necessarily make people pay. £150M cost of collection. £150M cost of evasion. 10% of the business of the UK's criminal justice system. That's £300M a year just in financial overhead before even one minute of Natasha Kaplunksky's salary is paid for. The cost of the licence fee's collection will rise. Also as the licence fee rises, so the incentive to evade rises, making the use of 1930s authoritarian regime collective-socialst style tactics even less cost effective. Conversely, the cost of technology, such as Sky's CAM systems generally depreciates through competition, innovation, and automation which is why we have Pay TV, mobile phones, DVD on demand, the inter-web, medical scanners, instand messaging, online banking, home delivery shopping, porn on demand, etc. -- Posted via Mailgate.ORG Server - http://www.Mailgate.ORG |
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#15
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Heracles Pollux wrote:
Ah, that makes sense now. And long may the farting men continue spying, AFAIAC. They may spy, but it does not necessarily make people pay. £150M cost of collection. £150M cost of evasion. 10% of the business of the UK's criminal justice system. I couldn't really care less about the money; it's the fact that if the BBC went subscription then they would have to become more populist to attract the subscribers in the first place, and the best stuff that the BBC produces (such as stuff on BBC4) would be at risk, and IMO we'd end up with the BBC descending towards ITV. Nightmare scenario, IMO. Also, if the BBC went subscription then as a paying subscriber I would want all their radio stations to go subscription only as well, because I would totally resent people refusing to pay their subscription getting access to the radio stations that I pay towards. Alternatively, the radio stations could have adverts on them. I don't want their radio stations to have adverts on them simply because I don't like adverts on the radio (don't mind them on TV, cos it allows you to make a drink or whatever) and, again, they would make the radio stations more populist, because they need more listeners to pay for the stations. I'm (mostly) happy with how they are, thanks. That's £300M a year just in financial overhead before even one minute of Natasha Kaplunksky's salary is paid for. The cost of the licence fee's collection will rise. Also as the licence fee rises, so the incentive to evade rises, making the use of 1930s authoritarian regime collective-socialst style tactics even less cost effective. Conversely, the cost of technology, such as Sky's CAM systems generally depreciates through competition, innovation, and automation which is why we have Pay TV, mobile phones, DVD on demand, the inter-web, medical scanners, instand messaging, online banking, home delivery shopping, porn on demand, etc. Don't patronise me. I am just against the BBC going subscription for the reasons I've given, and I can't be arsed getting into an argument over it. I do think that the forthcoming Charter renewal will probably be the last. In fact, all it needs is the Tory party to get into power between now and the end of the forthcoming Charter for them to change the rules. So, I believe you'll get your way in the end, but I'm just happy that there's 10 years or so before you do. And for the record, I don't disagree that there is a strong argument for the abolishment of the licence fee, especially given that there is a small percentage of people that never watch BBC TV, apparently, and it is hard to justify that they should pay. But culturally, Britain would be far worse off without the licence fee, and that is not something that you can quantify, although I wouldn't be surprised if some bean counters (who know the cost of everything and the value of nothing) try to.... No doubt one of the Murdochs has his main bean counter on this job at this very second.... -- Steve - www.digitalradiotech.co.uk - Digital Radio News & Info Find the cheapest Freeview, DAB & MP3 Player Prices: http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/fr..._receivers.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/da...tal_radios.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...rs_1GB-5GB.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...e_capacity.htm |
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#16
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"Heracles Pollux" wrote in message
news:[email protected] .mailgate.org... Of course the cost of hardware, software, and spectrum is cheap and constantly depreciating (look at Pace's withdrawal from non Sky STBs). The technology - like the first generation analogue Sky service, like the second generation Sky Digital service - are all off the shelf industry standard components. Silicon falls in price, but there's always the baseline cost of royalties that is fixed, the royalties associated with a DVD player is now more than cost of the silicon, and in the case of DVB-S2 they're still bickering about AVC licensing. Software development isn't cheap. Nor is spectrum given the speculation and options being placed on 28e, but cheap compared to Freeview of course. None of this is cheap, Sky could quite easily sit milking the existing platform and Sky+ for a long time, but they don't want to be in a game of catch up when HD-DVD hits the market. The fact of the matter is BSkyB are moving ahead and actually doing something whilst the self-entitled vanguard of innovation and originality that is the Beeb (and the rest of the PSB's) are doing sweet FA apart from publishing a few technical papers on the lowest possible resolution they can get away with... and even if other broadcasters decide to launch a HD service it will be on the back of Sky's platform. I can't see the BBC doing anything soon, they're so entrenched in the promotion of their beloved (standard definition) Freeview service for political reasons they won't do anything that might undermine its success, like providing stunning HD content on satellite. Even if you question BSkyB's way of doing business you must acknowledge they do take risks on new technology and bare the cost of making it commoditised, no wonder they're then able to enjoy first mover advantage. If we waited for the BBC or ITV do something by their own volition... well, it's going to be a long wait, and the market no longer waits for them. Az. |
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#17
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Heracles Pollux wrote:
Investment view: HOLD BSKYB. It is a commodity and aside from the 1999 dotcom bubble, it will make utility type profits, not 20x multiples, and eventually competitors will break into the market. This time, Murdoch does not need to shaft his shareholders by freezing dividends, but the move to HDTV is not a market innovation, rather a defensive play to maintain BSKYB's lead, and retain existing customers, not extract new ones. What about if the BBC, ITV and C4 (and maybe five) cooperate to launch a Freesat platform, with one of the features being that they'll have free-to-air HDTV? The above will probably offer HDTV on Digital Satellite anyway as a "me-too" strategy (like how Stuart Prebble at ITV joined digital satellite as late as November 2001). The reason is Digital Satellite bandwidth is cheap and depreciating. There is competition in the satellite transmission market and more capacity becoming available following the next Astra 2 deployment. HDTV will occur initially on the Pay-TV market because MPEG4 (the carrier and compresion protocol) requires a per user software licence. I think MPEG-2 also has such a licence, but it's just that MPEG-4 (H.264) is more expensive. See: http://graphics.csail.mit.edu/~tbueh...decs/mpeg.html Just like Windows XP requires a licence to be paid, the software can only be deployed to people who are willing to pay for it, which is why MPEG2 is popular, and MPEG4 has a barrier to widespread use. By that logic then surely we would never get H.264/AVC? But H.264 will replace MPEG-2 eventually. Secondly, DTT has finite bandwidth due to the laws of physics and the reduction in signal penetration as the frequency increases. DTT frequency planning is carried out with the assumption that users will have rooftop aerials, so the signal doesn't need to penetrate anything. Given that it will be a struggle to attain DTT switch-over by 2010-2012 using existing DTT technology and MPEG2 (DVB-T), What is wrong with DVB-T or MPEG-2? In particular, what's wrong with them that might hinder digital switch-over? DVB-T got a bad press early on due to poor transmitter network planning, because insufficient transmitter powers were used. Transmitter powers have subsequently been increased on the 64-QAM muxes and the Freeview muxes use 16-QAM, which is inherently more robust. DTT does not have 100% population coverage, and people will always live on the edge of coverage areas and have poor reception. That's just a fact of life, but it's not a problem with the DVB-T system. There were also problems with impuslive interference, but that was partly due to insufficient signal strength in the first place, and newer DVB-T receiver chips have significantly improved performance. and the concerns about the free-to-air channels surviability (eg, ITV, Channel 4, and FIVE's recent statements and changes), simply adding more lines to the same TV programmes isn't going to net them one penny more in revenue nor one ad-sale more, for some time to come. The best thing ITV, C4 and five can do is to encourage as many people on to free-to-air platforms, because rather than being little fishes in large ponds on satellite or cable, they're bigger fish in smaller ponds on FTA systems. And if they, along with the BBC, transmit HD on Freesat then that would give people an incentive to get Freesat, and less of an incentive to get Sky for HDTV. Also look how Digital Radio is inferior in quality to FM radio, When people talk about DAB being of inferior quality to FM radio, they're usually talking about the audio quality, not the robustness of the signal. how most DTT channels are still on QAM64 rather than the more robust QAM16, As I said above, the 64-QAM DTT muxes have had their transmitter powers increased, so robustness isn't really a problem any more. and how there is commercial demand for more channels rather than higher quality of channels (the people who pay Crown Castle for spectrum not the viewers). I actually don't think there's much of a problem with SDTV picture quality on Freeview, but HDTV is a completely different ball game. When people see it for the first time they're bowled over by it, and describe it as "looking through a window". It's a step change in picture quality, and increasing the bit rate a bit on SDTV cannot get close to it. And lastly the BBC who admit to 20% of people being opposed to the licence fee: Could they realistcally deploy an HDTV system Yes. - a luxury version of television for the few - using licence fee cash? This is an evolving situation though, because as more and more people get large displays then it becomes more and more feasible until there's a critical mass, and then questions will be asked why they're *not* transmitting in HD. I doubt even New Labour would swallow that. They would be more likely to want to do so using their pseudo commercial channels such as UK TV or by wheezing some kind of "top-up licence fee". It will definitely happen, and it'll happen sooner than you think: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/technology/4065565.stm "The BBC will start broadcasting in HDTV when the time is right, and it would not be just a showcase, but a whole set of programming," says Andy Quested, from the BBC's high-definition support group. "We have made the commitment to produce all our output in high-definition by 2010, which would put us on the leading edge." My main concern is that the EBU (European Broadcasting Union), who represent the public service broadcasters (e.g. BBC, ITV, C4) want to use 720p instead of 1080i, primarily due to bandwidth limits on DTT. 720p requires a slightly lower bit rate than 1080i, but it has far lower resolution. It'll be interesting to see what Sky do with their own channels in this respect. I would've thought they'd go for 1080i, because bandwidth isn't a problem for them, and it'd give the public service broadcasters the dilemna that if they used 720p on DTT then Sky's marketing department could turn round and say that HD on DTT isn't really HD at all, or at the very least they can legitimately say that the resolution is significantly higher on Sky. -- Steve - www.digitalradiotech.co.uk - Digital Radio News & Info Find the cheapest Freeview, DAB & MP3 Player Prices: http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/fr..._receivers.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/da...tal_radios.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...rs_1GB-5GB.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...e_capacity.htm |
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#18
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On Thu, 03 Mar 2005 14:50:28 GMT, "DAB sounds worse than FM"
wrote: Heracles Pollux wrote: Ah, that makes sense now. And long may the farting men continue spying, AFAIAC. They may spy, but it does not necessarily make people pay. £150M cost of collection. £150M cost of evasion. 10% of the business of the UK's criminal justice system. I couldn't really care less about the money; it's the fact that if the BBC went subscription then they would have to become more populist to attract the subscribers in the first place, and the best stuff that the BBC produces (such as stuff on BBC4) would be at risk, and IMO we'd end up with the BBC descending towards ITV. Nightmare scenario, IMO. Also, if the BBC went subscription then as a paying subscriber I would want all their radio stations to go subscription only as well, because I would totally resent people refusing to pay their subscription getting access to the radio stations that I pay towards. Alternatively, the radio stations could have adverts on them. I don't want their radio stations to have adverts on them simply because I don't like adverts on the radio (don't mind them on TV, cos it allows you to make a drink or whatever) and, again, they would make the radio stations more populist, because they need more listeners to pay for the stations. I'm (mostly) happy with how they are, thanks. It has been a long time since I have said these words, I agree completely Steve. -- Andy Norman http://www.norman.cx/ Replace the fish with my first name to reply |
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#19
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Aztech wrote:
The fact of the matter is BSkyB are moving ahead and actually doing something whilst the self-entitled vanguard of innovation and originality that is the Beeb I thought they had an Imagineering department? Surely that proves that they are the vanguard of innovation? ![]() (and the rest of the PSB's) are doing sweet FA apart from publishing a few technical papers on the lowest possible resolution they can get away with... I knew you'd come to your senses in the end... I can't see the BBC doing anything soon, they're so entrenched in the promotion of their beloved (standard definition) Freeview service for political reasons they won't do anything that might undermine its success, like providing stunning HD content on satellite. They could use HD as a means of luring people onto Freesat, and let Freeview fend for itself, cos it doesn't seem to be doing badly. Even if you question BSkyB's way of doing business you must acknowledge they do take risks on new technology True. But I don't think the move into HD is anywhere like the kind of risks they've taken in the past. I think this is far more likely to be a sure-fire success. If we waited for the BBC or ITV do something by their own volition... And when the BBC do move of their own volition then they choose the wrong technology; DAB being the perfect example. -- Steve - www.digitalradiotech.co.uk - Digital Radio News & Info Find the cheapest Freeview, DAB & MP3 Player Prices: http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/fr..._receivers.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/da...tal_radios.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...rs_1GB-5GB.htm http://www.digitalradiotech.co.uk/mp...e_capacity.htm |
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#20
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On Thu, 03 Mar 2005 16:39:50 GMT, "DAB sounds worse than FM"
wrote: It'll be interesting to see what Sky do with their own channels in this respect. I would've thought they'd go for 1080i, because bandwidth isn't a problem for them, and it'd give the public service broadcasters the I hope this turns out to be true, but it is not as if they have always used the highest bit rates on their existing SD channels, so I'm not sure that the argument that bandwidth isn't a problem for them holds much water. -- Andy Norman http://www.norman.cx/ Replace the fish with my first name to reply |
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